Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 56.22%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 23.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.05%) and 3-1 (6.81%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.