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Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 10, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Brest logo

Montpellier
3 - 1
Brest

Nordin (6' pen.), Khazri (12'), Coulibaly (84')
Khazri (16'), Ferri (56'), Sagnan (62'), Toure (69'), Chennahi (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Martin (50')
Martin (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Le Havre 1-0 Montpellier
Sunday, November 3 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Brest

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Sparta Prague 1-2 Brest
Wednesday, November 6 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Montpellier HSC 0-1 Brest

 Despite being in the bottom half, Brest's start to the Ligue 1 season has been more than respectable considering they are also juggling European commitments, and they will fancy their chances of a fourth straight away win here. All four of Montpellier's points have come at home this season, but the humbling they received from Toulouse in their last outing suggests familiar surroundings may do little to save them here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawBrest
28.97% (0.881 0.88) 24.22% (0.257 0.26) 46.81% (-1.137 -1.14)
Both teams to score 57.65% (-0.238 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.42% (-0.602 -0.6)44.58% (0.60400000000001 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.06% (-0.585 -0.59)66.95% (0.587 0.59)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.33% (0.31599999999999 0.32)28.67% (-0.314 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.51% (0.393 0.39)64.49% (-0.392 -0.39)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.83% (-0.69499999999999 -0.69)19.18% (0.697 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.15% (-1.164 -1.16)50.85% (1.167 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 28.97%
    Brest 46.81%
    Draw 24.22%
Montpellier HSCDrawBrest
2-1 @ 7.09% (0.151 0.15)
1-0 @ 6.87% (0.236 0.24)
2-0 @ 4.29% (0.184 0.18)
3-1 @ 2.95% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.091 0.09)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 28.97%
1-1 @ 11.34% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.5% (0.142 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.22%
1-2 @ 9.37% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
0-1 @ 9.08% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.5% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-3 @ 5.16% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-3 @ 4.13% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-3 @ 3.22% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.13% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-4 @ 1.7% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 46.81%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Brest

Montpellier HSC
23.8%
Draw
9.5%
Brest
66.7%
42
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 18
Brest
2-0
Montpellier
Magnetti (48'), Le Douaron (90+2')
Magnetti (45')

Chotard (44'), Jullien (57')
> Preview
Nov 26, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 13
Montpellier
1-3
Brest
Savanier (51' pen.)
Savanier (24'), Adams (90+6')
Esteve (20' og.), Pereira Lage (64'), Doumbia (90+3')
Lees-Melou (30'), Del Castillo (45')
> Preview
Feb 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 23
Montpellier
3-0
Brest
Herelle (4' og.), Savanier (17' pen.), Wahi (54')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 4
Brest
0-7
Montpellier

Lees-Melou (50')
Maouassa (6'), Wahi (10', 31'), Khazri (11'), Cozza (25'), Germain (64', 84')
Nordin (62'), Leroy (71')
> Preview
Apr 3, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 30
Montpellier
1-2
Brest
Savanier (90+3' pen.)
Mavididi (32'), Sakho (33')
Satriano (69'), Honorat (79')
Satriano (7'), Herelle (31'), Chardonnet (66'), Brassier (90+1')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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