Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Monza had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Inter Milan |
27.04% ( -0.09) | 25.15% ( 0) | 47.81% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 53.16% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.17% ( -0.06) | 49.83% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.17% ( -0.05) | 71.82% ( 0.05) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.17% ( -0.1) | 32.83% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.61% ( -0.11) | 69.39% ( 0.11) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.13% ( 0.02) | 20.86% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.44% ( 0.02) | 53.56% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 7.63% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 27.04% | 1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.41% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.89% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 47.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |