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Cagliari logo
Empoli logo
Fiorentina logo
Genoa logo
Hellas Verona logo
Inter logo
Juventus logo
Lazio logo
Lecce logo
Monza
Napoli logo
Parma logo
Roma logo
Torino logo
Udinese logo
Venezia
Monza
Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Inter logo

Monza
1 - 5
Inter Milan

Pessina (69' pen.)
Colpani (5'), Birindelli (70')
Palladino (6')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Calhanoglu (12' pen., 60'), Martinez (14', 84' pen.), Thuram (88')
Calhanoglu (58'), Pavard (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Monza and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frosinone 2-3 Monza
Saturday, January 6 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Monza 0-2 Inter Milan

Inter have scored in 27 consecutive Serie A matches - their last goalless league game incidentally came versus Monza, in April 2023 - and that streak should continue. The Nerazzurri can sign off for their sojourn to Saudi Arabia with another win, putting the pressure on closest challengers Juventus to respond. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Monza had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
MonzaDrawInter Milan
27.04% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 25.15% (0.00099999999999767 0) 47.81% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 53.16% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.17% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)49.83% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.17% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)71.82% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.17% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)32.83% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.61% (-0.106 -0.11)69.39% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.13% (0.015000000000001 0.02)20.86% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.44% (0.023000000000003 0.02)53.56% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Monza 27.04%
    Inter Milan 47.8%
    Draw 25.15%
MonzaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 7.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 6.66% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.58% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 27.04%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 6.85% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 10.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 8.41% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 4.39% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.92% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.72% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 47.8%

How you voted: Monza vs Inter Milan

Monza
11.7%
Draw
6.7%
Inter Milan
81.7%
60
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Inter Milan
2-0
Monza
Martinez (8', 76')
Martinez (32')

Caldirola (41')
Apr 15, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Monza
2-2
Inter Milan
Ciurria (11'), Dumfries (90+3' og.)
Darmian (10'), Martinez (22')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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