We said: Rio Ave 2-1 Vizela
Both these sides have seen slight improvement in the last month, and a win here will feel like six points gained and could cause a significant reshuffle at the foot of the table. The hosts have got themselves out of the drop zone with a few good performances ahead of this match, and we feel they will be able to put on another good showing in this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.