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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Cardiff City |
30.04% ( 1.71) | 26.87% ( 0.37) | 43.1% ( -2.09) |
Both teams to score 49.8% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.92% ( -0.67) | 55.08% ( 0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.66% ( -0.56) | 76.34% ( 0.55) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.7% ( 0.94) | 33.3% ( -0.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.08% ( 1.03) | 69.91% ( -1.03) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.67% ( -1.33) | 25.33% ( 1.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.89% ( -1.86) | 60.11% ( 1.86) |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 7% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.46% Total : 30.04% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.42) 1-3 @ 4% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.15) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.35% Total : 43.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 35 |
2 | Burnley | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 33 |
3 | Sunderland | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 32 |
5 | Watford | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 29 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 17 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 27 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 22 |
10 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
11 | Bristol City | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 17 |
19 | Preston North EndPreston | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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