Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 66.25%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Apollon Smirnis had a probability of 14.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for an Apollon Smirnis win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AEK Athens in this match.