Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 37.09%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bradford City in this match.