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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park (Blackburn, Lancashire)
Cambridge United

Blackburn
5 - 2
Cambridge

Szmodics (23', 37', 45+3'), Sigurdsson (66'), Leonard (81')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Lankester (6'), Kaikai (26')
Bennett (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Blackburn Rovers and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 2-2 Rotherham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 3-1 Cambridge United

Given Blackburn's most recent form, Cambridge will fancy their chances of causing an upset at Ewood Park. However, despite their frailties, Blackburn have plenty of quality in attack, leading us to predict a home victory with something to spare. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 52.19%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawCambridge United
52.19% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 22.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 24.92% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)41.66% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.94% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)64.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.97% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)16.03% (0.014999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.63% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)45.36% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.84% (0.015000000000001 0.02)30.16% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.69% (0.018999999999998 0.02)66.31% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 52.19%
    Cambridge United 24.92%
    Draw 22.89%
Blackburn RoversDrawCambridge United
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 8.85%
2-0 @ 8.1% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.93% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 4.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.55%
4-1 @ 2.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 52.19%
1-1 @ 10.6%
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.89%
1-2 @ 6.36% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-1 @ 5.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.47% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 24.92%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Cambridge

Blackburn Rovers
81.1%
Draw
8.1%
Cambridge United
10.8%
37
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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