Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 64.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 16.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 1-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-2 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Estoril Praia |
64.23% ( 0.75) | 19.19% ( -0.16) | 16.57% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 58.18% ( -0.75) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.96% ( -0.36) | 36.04% ( 0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.86% ( -0.39) | 58.13% ( 0.39) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.38% ( 0.08) | 10.62% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.57% ( 0.19) | 34.43% ( -0.2) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.1% ( -0.9) | 34.9% ( 0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.36% ( -0.95) | 71.64% ( 0.95) |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Estoril Praia |
2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.06) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.89% Total : 64.23% | 1-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.19% | 1-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.59% Total : 16.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |