Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 73.77%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 9.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.21%) and 3-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.