Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nijmegen 3-1 Heracles
Saturday, February 3 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, February 3 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Cambuur 3-1 Vitesse
Wednesday, February 7 at 5.45pm in KNVB Beker
Wednesday, February 7 at 5.45pm in KNVB Beker
We said: Heracles 2-1 Vitesse
With two of the Eredivisie's leakiest defences going head-to-head, we are anticipating an open contest with goals at both ends. That said, we are tipping Heracles to emerge triumphant come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | Vitesse |
40.09% ( 1.23) | 24.2% ( -0.02) | 35.71% ( -1.21) |
| Both teams to score 60.56% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
