Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Marseille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Marseille.
Result | ||
Le Havre | Draw | Marseille |
31.16% ( -0.55) | 26.7% ( 0.33) | 42.14% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 50.79% ( -1.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.95% ( -1.48) | 54.05% ( 1.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.52% ( -1.26) | 75.48% ( 1.26) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.04% ( -1.13) | 31.96% ( 1.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.59% ( -1.32) | 68.41% ( 1.32) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.64% ( -0.55) | 25.36% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.85% ( -0.77) | 60.15% ( 0.77) |
Score Analysis |
Le Havre | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.77% Total : 31.16% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 42.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |