Man City

3 - 2

RB Leipzig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 56.32%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 23.97% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.88%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.