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Championship | Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
Leeds logo

Millwall
1 - 0
Leeds

Tanganga (40')
Tanganga (57'), Honeyman (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Firpo (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Burnley
Sunday, November 3 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Plymouth
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Leeds United

With both sides facing one of their toughest tests yet in the Championship, we anticipate a tight encounter at The Den on Wednesday. While Leeds United have more quality in their ranks, Millwall may have enough to come away with a result with confidence growing in the camp. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 47.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 24.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 1-2 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Millwall win it was 1-0 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawLeeds United
24.79% (-0.265 -0.27) 27.45% (-0.177 -0.18) 47.76% (0.439 0.44)
Both teams to score 44.72% (0.24 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.12% (0.42299999999999 0.42)59.87% (-0.42299999999999 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.86% (0.322 0.32)80.14% (-0.324 -0.32)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.76% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)40.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.13% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)76.87%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.82% (0.405 0.41)25.17% (-0.407 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.1% (0.556 0.56)59.9% (-0.557 -0.56)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 24.79%
    Leeds United 47.76%
    Draw 27.44%
MillwallDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 9.22% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-1 @ 5.79% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.2% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.27% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.21% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 24.79%
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 10.12% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 3.99% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 27.44%
0-1 @ 13.97% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-2 @ 9.64% (0.071 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.77% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 4.43% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.03% (0.076 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.034 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 47.76%

How you voted: Millwall vs Leeds

Millwall
22.6%
Draw
25.8%
Leeds United
51.6%
93
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 38
Leeds
2-0
Millwall
Gnonto (33'), James (79')
Gnonto (18'), Firpo (29'), Gruev (90+2')

Cooper (18'), Flemming (25'), Leonard (53'), Honeyman (60')
Sep 17, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 6
Millwall
0-3
Leeds
Piroe (15', 77'), Rutter (81')
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
3-2
Millwall
Bamford (48', 66'), Hernandez (62')
Hernandez (64'), Bamford (94')
Hutchinson (4'), Wallace (23' pen.)
Woods (26')
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 39
Leeds
3-2
Millwall
Hernandez (34', 83'), Ayling (71')
Cooper (55'), Jansson (65'), Clarke (94')
Thompson (10'), Marshall (55' pen.)
Meredith (7'), Cooper (30'), Marshall (74'), Martin (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley27141123192253
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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