We said: Namibia 1-1 Mali
Mali have been one of the surprise packages in this competition and look destined for the last 16 after two very positive performances to date. Namibia were humbled last time out but showed enough, even in defeat, to suggest that they are not out of this competition just yet. We feel this could be a nail-biter and fancy that there will be nothing to split these sides at the final whistle.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 53.38%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Namibia had a probability of 17.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 19.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.51%) and 1-2 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.89%), while for a Namibia win it was 1-0 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.