Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.