Salt Lake5 - 2Atlanta
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, July 4 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
for
Thursday, July 4 at 12.45am in Major League Soccer
for
We said: Real Salt Lake 2-1 Atlanta United
While Atlanta seem to have a new lease of life under their manager, Salt Lake are one of the best performing teams in MLS this year and have been particularly strong at home. The hosts won this fixture the last time they were at home, and we think they will edge it again. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 56.54%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 21.92% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Atlanta United |
56.54% ( 0.34) | 21.53% ( -0.08) | 21.92% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 59.63% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
