Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 54.39%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 23.81% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.