We said: Toulouse 2-1 Nantes
This matchup will be the second season in a row that Toulouse and Nantes face each other on the opening day, with the hosts recording a 2-1 victory in that encounter.
The hosts have had much more joy in the league in the last two years, while the visitors have endured successive relegation battles, suggesting Toulouse will win this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
-0.17) 
0.25) 
