MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 02:57:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 20
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Southampton logo

Watford
1 - 1
Southampton

Healey (90+6')
Porteous (59'), Kone (61'), Hoedt (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Adams (56')
Charles (34'), Armstrong (45'), Armstrong (87'), Fraser (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 1-2 Watford
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-2 Southampton

With both teams very much in form, this is a tough match to predict. Watford are growing in confidence, particularly at home, but Southampton have scored a lot of late decisive goals this season and we feel that a similar outcome may materialise here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawSouthampton
45.6% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 23.41% (0.193 0.19) 30.98% (-0.24 -0.24)
Both teams to score 61.75% (-0.83900000000001 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.28% (-1.046 -1.05)39.72% (1.044 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.92% (-1.095 -1.1)62.07% (1.094 1.09)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.25% (-0.393 -0.39)17.75% (0.392 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.57% (-0.683 -0.68)48.43% (0.681 0.68)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.07% (-0.65899999999999 -0.66)24.92% (0.658 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.45% (-0.921 -0.92)59.55% (0.919 0.92)
Score Analysis
    Watford 45.6%
    Southampton 30.98%
    Draw 23.41%
WatfordDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.039 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.65% (0.272 0.27)
2-0 @ 6.61% (0.153 0.15)
3-1 @ 5.29% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.81% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.68% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 45.6%
1-1 @ 10.62% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 6.38% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
0-0 @ 4.42% (0.211 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.41%
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.15% (0.182 0.18)
0-2 @ 4.27% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 30.98%

How you voted: Watford vs Southampton

Watford
25.0%
Draw
25.0%
Southampton
50.0%
24
Head to Head
Jul 23, 2022 3pm
Mar 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 29
Southampton
1-2
Watford
Elyounoussi (45')
Perraud (48'), Romeu (65'), Bednarek (76')
Camilo Hernandez (14', 34')
Camilo Hernandez (60'), Sissoko (86')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 10
Watford
0-1
Southampton

Pedro (45+2'), Kucka (76')
Adams (20')
Salisu (55'), Ward-Prowse (58')
Jun 28, 2020 4.30pm
Nov 30, 2019 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5Watford168262524126
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
18Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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