Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Havant & Waterlooville in this match.