Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 72.68%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 11.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 3-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.03%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-2 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.