Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.