Carrarese

3 - 0

Cittadella

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrarese win with a probability of 41.91%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Cittadella had a probability of 28.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrarese win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 2-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a Cittadella win it was 0-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrarese would win this match.