Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 53.62%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 23.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.