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Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Forest Green Rovers

Crewe
0 - 3
Forest Green


Nevitt (43'), Kirk (75'), Adebisi (76')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Garrick (13', 26'), Robson (27')
Inniss (43'), Osadebe (52'), Jones (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 0-0 Crewe
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 2-0 Forest Green Rovers

While Crewe have suffered a slump in form in recent weeks, they will be backing themselves against an out-of-sorts Forest Green side who have lost their last three games. Bell's men have been rock-solid at home this season and we fancy them to come away with maximum points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawForest Green Rovers
50.35% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 24.05% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 25.6% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.43% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.77% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)46.23% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.47% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)68.52% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.4% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.93% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)32.07% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.46% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)68.53% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 50.35%
    Forest Green Rovers 25.6%
    Draw 24.05%
Crewe AlexandraDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 9.99% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.77% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.02% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 50.35%
1-1 @ 11.36%
0-0 @ 5.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.05%
0-1 @ 6.71%
1-2 @ 6.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 25.6%

How you voted: Crewe vs Forest Green

Crewe Alexandra
90.9%
Draw
9.1%
Forest Green Rovers
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Forest Green
1-4
Crewe
Brown (35')
Deeney (46'), Robson (53'), Bunker (68'), Johnson (74')
Long (49'), Baker-Richardson (60', 69'), Nevitt (82')
Tabiner (11'), Offord (18'), O'Riordan (63')
Mar 21, 2020 3pm
Nov 26, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Forest Green
0-0
Crewe
Kitching (44'), Rawson (49'), Mills (66')
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 45
Crewe
4-3
Forest Green
Porter (19'), Mills (63' og.), Kirk (87', 89')
Hunt (81'), Kirk (90')
Brown (36'), Mondal (47'), Doidge (52')
Gunning (52'), Brown (61'), Mills (89'), Reid (95')
Dec 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 23
Forest Green
1-0
Crewe
Mills (45')
Montgomery (55'), Rawson (87'), Campbell (89')

Jones (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
17Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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