Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.