Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 56.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 21.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-2 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Casa Pia in this match.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Casa Pia |
56.09% ( 0.12) | 22.46% ( 0.23) | 21.45% ( -0.35) |
Both teams to score 55.69% ( -1.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.47% ( -1.49) | 43.53% ( 1.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.07% ( -1.47) | 65.93% ( 1.48) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.65% ( -0.47) | 15.36% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.87% ( -0.89) | 44.13% ( 0.89) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.79% ( -1.17) | 34.21% ( 1.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.09% ( -1.27) | 70.91% ( 1.28) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Casa Pia |
2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.7% 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 56.09% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.34) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.46% | 1-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.13% Total : 21.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |