Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 15, 2024 at 5pm UK
Estadio Nacional 24 de Setembro
Guinea-Bissau0 - 0Mali
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mali 1-0 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, October 11 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, October 11 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
We said: Guinea-Bissau 1-2 Mali
Mali extended their dominance over Guinea-Bissau with Friday's victory and will head into Monday's clash with sky-high confidence. Les Aigles' are favourites to win the tie on paper, and given the gulf in quality between the two nations, we are backing them to see off the hosts once again. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 63.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 12.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 18.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.08%) and 1-2 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.65%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 1-0 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guinea-Bissau | Draw | Mali |
12.16% ( -0.01) | 24.22% ( 0.01) | 63.62% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 33.41% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
