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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
The Den
Middlesbrough logo

Millwall
1 - 3
Middlesbrough

Bryan (10')
Honeyman (45+4'), Longman (51'), Bryan (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Engel (38'), Jones (58'), Forss (90+5')
Engel (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Millwall 1-1 Middlesbrough

The high of beating Chelsea could have varying effects on Boro, something that Carrick will be aware of. Millwall are a team in form right now and that may lead to the two teams playing out a competitive draw at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawMiddlesbrough
26.25% (0.168 0.17) 24.5% (-0.055 -0.05) 49.24% (-0.113 -0.11)
Both teams to score 54.57% (0.33 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.34% (0.365 0.37)47.66% (-0.366 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.14% (0.337 0.34)69.85% (-0.337 -0.34)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.7% (0.33 0.33)32.3% (-0.33 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.2% (0.37 0.37)68.8% (-0.37 -0.37)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.6% (0.094999999999999 0.09)19.4% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.79% (0.157 0.16)51.21% (-0.159 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 26.25%
    Middlesbrough 49.24%
    Draw 24.5%
MillwallDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 7.08% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.56% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 4% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.47% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.51% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 26.25%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.26% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.048 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 10.27% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 9.52%
0-2 @ 8.43% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.21% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.61% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.14% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 49.24%

How you voted: Millwall vs Middlesbrough

Millwall
52.2%
Draw
13.0%
Middlesbrough
34.8%
23
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Middlesbrough
0-1
Millwall

Howson (80')
Esse (79')
Bryan (25'), Nisbet (46'), Cooper (80')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Millwall
0-0
Middlesbrough
Cooper (4'), Ballard (16'), Malone (19'), Wallace (34')
Jones (19')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
Middlesbrough
1-1
Millwall
Crooks (15')
Howson (57')
Bamba (27' og.)
Bennett (34'), Cooper (45+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Ravens
30-23
Chargers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds1695228121632
2Sunderland1695226121432
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
4Burnley168621961330
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea165471414019
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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