MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 05:32:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
The Den
Middlesbrough logo

Millwall
1 - 3
Middlesbrough

Bryan (10')
Honeyman (45+4'), Longman (51'), Bryan (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Engel (38'), Jones (58'), Forss (90+5')
Engel (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Millwall 1-1 Middlesbrough

The high of beating Chelsea could have varying effects on Boro, something that Carrick will be aware of. Millwall are a team in form right now and that may lead to the two teams playing out a competitive draw at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawMiddlesbrough
26.25% (0.168 0.17) 24.5% (-0.055 -0.05) 49.24% (-0.113 -0.11)
Both teams to score 54.57% (0.33 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.34% (0.365 0.37)47.66% (-0.366 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.14% (0.337 0.34)69.85% (-0.337 -0.34)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.7% (0.33 0.33)32.3% (-0.33 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.2% (0.37 0.37)68.8% (-0.37 -0.37)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.6% (0.094999999999999 0.09)19.4% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.79% (0.157 0.16)51.21% (-0.159 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 26.25%
    Middlesbrough 49.24%
    Draw 24.5%
MillwallDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 7.08% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.56% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 4% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.47% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.51% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 26.25%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.26% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.048 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 10.27% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 9.52%
0-2 @ 8.43% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.21% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.61% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.14% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 49.24%

How you voted: Millwall vs Middlesbrough

Millwall
52.2%
Draw
13.0%
Middlesbrough
34.8%
23
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Middlesbrough
0-1
Millwall

Howson (80')
Esse (79')
Bryan (25'), Nisbet (46'), Cooper (80')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Millwall
0-0
Middlesbrough
Cooper (4'), Ballard (16'), Malone (19'), Wallace (34')
Jones (19')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
Middlesbrough
1-1
Millwall
Crooks (15')
Howson (57')
Bamba (27' og.)
Bennett (34'), Cooper (45+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley27141123192253
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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