Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.