Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.