Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.