Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.