Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.2%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Weston-super-Mare in this match.