Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 64.84%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Sputnik had a probability of 15.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.5%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Sputnik win it was 1-0 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtyor Soligorsk would win this match.