Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 21, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
OPEL ARENA
Mainz1 - 3Bayern
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 2-2 Mainz
Friday, October 6 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Friday, October 6 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Freiburg
Sunday, October 8 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, October 8 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Mainz 05 0-2 Bayern Munich
Even with half an eye on Tuesday's Champions League clash with Galatasaray, it should be a straightforward matter for Bayern Munich to halt their losing streak in Mainz this weekend. While the champions can score from all angles, their hosts have been awful at the back this term and cannot hope to keep Bayern at bay for a full 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.74%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 13.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 2-1 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Bayern Munich |
13.1% ( 0.22) | 17.16% ( 0.19) | 69.74% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 56.57% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
