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Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Livingston logo
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ayr United
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 15
Feb 5, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Somerset Park
Hearts logo

Ayr
0 - 1
Hearts


Murdoch (11'), Ndaba (43'), Muirhead (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Boyce (48')
Halliday (36')

The Match

Match Report

The striker netted from the penalty spot three minutes into the second half.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 22.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.04%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for an Ayr United win it was 1-0 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hearts in this match.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawHearts
22.72%25.62%51.67%
Both teams to score 47.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.95%55.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.69%76.32%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.53%39.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.84%76.17%
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66%21.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.69%54.31%
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 22.72%
    Hearts 51.66%
    Draw 25.62%
Ayr UnitedDrawHearts
1-0 @ 7.83%
2-1 @ 5.62%
2-0 @ 3.64%
3-1 @ 1.74%
3-2 @ 1.35%
3-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 22.72%
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 8.43%
2-2 @ 4.34%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 13.01%
0-2 @ 10.04%
1-2 @ 9.34%
0-3 @ 5.17%
1-3 @ 4.81%
2-3 @ 2.24%
0-4 @ 2%
1-4 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 51.66%

How you voted: Ayr vs Hearts

Ayr United
33.3%
Draw
0.0%
Hearts
66.7%
6
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 9
Hearts
5-3
Ayr
Kingsley (11'), Wighton (68', 74'), Lee (71'), Boyce (81')
Smith (57'), McCowan (60'), Walsh (90+4')
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