Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rukh Brest win with a probability of 57.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Sputnik had a probability of 19.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rukh Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Sputnik win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rukh Brest would win this match.