Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 12
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Kilmarnock1 - 0Motherwell
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Johnstone 2-1 Kilmarnock
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 2-4 Aberdeen
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: Kilmarnock 2-1 Motherwell
Having only suffered one league defeat at home so far, as well as recording famous wins over both Celtic and Rangers, Kilmarnock will be confident they can get back on track here. Motherwell are in disarray after a dreadful run of form, and the midweek performance against Aberdeen suggests they are still going backwards. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Kilmarnock.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Motherwell |
46.09% ( -0.04) | 26.3% ( 0.01) | 27.61% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.09% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
