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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Ewood Park
Millwall logo

Blackburn
1 - 1
Millwall

Szmodics (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Obafemi (54')
Tanganga (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Watford
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 0-0 Millwall

In a game that both teams will be desperate to avoid defeat in, we are expecting a cagey contest on Tuesday night, especially with Harris's Millwall in town. Blackburn have the division's top goalscorer, but we reckon that they will have to settle for another home point under the leadership of Eustace. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawMillwall
50.29% (0.038000000000004 0.04) 24.1% (0.319 0.32) 25.61% (-0.355 -0.35)
Both teams to score 55.28% (-1.401 -1.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.56% (-1.688 -1.69)46.44% (1.69 1.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.28% (-1.609 -1.61)68.72% (1.61 1.61)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.49% (-0.63 -0.63)18.51% (0.631 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.27% (-1.073 -1.07)49.73% (1.074 1.07)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.83% (-1.184 -1.18)32.17% (1.186 1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.35% (-1.364 -1.36)68.65% (1.365 1.36)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 50.29%
    Millwall 25.61%
    Draw 24.1%
Blackburn RoversDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 10.04% (0.504 0.5)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.47% (0.263 0.26)
3-1 @ 5.4% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-0 @ 4.76% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.17 -0.17)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 50.29%
1-1 @ 11.39% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 5.95% (0.414 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.262 0.26)
1-2 @ 6.46% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.83% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 25.61%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Millwall

Blackburn Rovers
50.6%
Draw
24.1%
Millwall
25.3%
87
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Millwall
1-2
Blackburn
Harding (3')
Rankin-Costello (22'), Brittain (51')
Dolan (90+3')
May 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Millwall
3-4
Blackburn
Watmore (8', 37'), Burke (39')
Wharton (22'), Rankin-Costello (51'), Brereton Diaz (63', 86')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Blackburn
2-1
Millwall
Dolan (57'), Brereton Diaz (63')
Cooper (75')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Blackburn
0-0
Millwall
Cooper (41'), Wallace (67'), Saville (73')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Millwall
1-1
Blackburn
Wallace (64')
Kieftenbeld (60')
Brereton Diaz (76')
Lenihan (52'), Ayala (82')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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