Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 1, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Sporting Lisbon5 - 1Estrela Amadora
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Nacional
Tuesday, October 29 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Tuesday, October 29 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Goals
for
for
30
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-2 Guimaraes
Sunday, October 27 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, October 27 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Estrela Amadora
Following a poor start to the campaign, Estrela Amadora find themselves scrambling for points at the bottom end of the table and are in for a tough 90 minutes against a Sporting Lisbon firing on all cylinders. The Leoes have made their home ground a fortress, going unbeaten in each of their 19 competitive home games since the turn of the year, and we are backing them to make it five wins on the bounce against the visitors this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 91.09%. A draw had a probability of 6.6% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 2.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.62%) and 2-0 (11.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.13%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (0.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
91.09% ( 0.05) | 6.57% ( -0.03) | 2.33% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 37.41% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
