Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 77.94%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 7.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.48%) and 1-0 (11.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Lorient |
77.94% | 14.76% | 7.3% |
Both teams to score 41.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.18% | 40.82% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.79% | 63.21% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.42% | 8.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.34% | 29.66% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
45.8% | 54.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.6% | 87.4% |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Lorient |
2-0 @ 14.02% 3-0 @ 11.48% 1-0 @ 11.42% 2-1 @ 8.59% 4-0 @ 7.05% 3-1 @ 7.03% 4-1 @ 4.32% 5-0 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 2.15% 5-1 @ 2.12% 6-0 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.55% Total : 77.93% | 1-1 @ 7% 0-0 @ 4.65% 2-2 @ 2.63% Other @ 0.48% Total : 14.76% | 0-1 @ 2.85% 1-2 @ 2.14% Other @ 2.31% Total : 7.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |