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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
Plymouth Argyle

Norwich
6 - 1
Plymouth

Sainz (2', 17', 72'), Duffy (51'), Ben Slimane (80'), Crnac (82')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bundu (39')
Sorinola (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 2-2 Norwich
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 2-2 Watford
Friday, November 22 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-1 Plymouth Argyle

Norwich are unlikely to keep a clean sheet given their poor defensive record, but it is difficult to see how Plymouth can prevent the Canaries from creating numerous chances in front of goal. Rooney's side were somewhat fortunate last time out, and it would not be surprising if they succumbed to defeat on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 60.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 18.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
60.52% (0.046999999999997 0.05) 21.26% (0.109 0.11) 18.22% (-0.153 -0.15)
Both teams to score 54.27% (-0.671 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.2% (-0.746 -0.75)42.8% (0.748 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.8% (-0.746 -0.75)65.2% (0.747 0.75)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.29% (-0.226 -0.23)13.7% (0.229 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.06% (-0.452 -0.45)40.94% (0.454 0.45)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.88% (-0.611 -0.61)37.11% (0.613 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.1% (-0.612 -0.61)73.9% (0.614 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 60.5%
    Plymouth Argyle 18.22%
    Draw 21.25%
Norwich CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 10.1% (0.241 0.24)
2-0 @ 10.04% (0.161 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.96%
3-0 @ 6.66% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.6% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.31%
4-1 @ 3.28% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.056 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 60.5%
1-1 @ 10.01% (0.074 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.09% (0.167 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.25%
0-1 @ 5.04% (0.083 0.08)
1-2 @ 4.97% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.5%
1-3 @ 1.64% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 18.22%

How you voted: Norwich vs Plymouth

Norwich City
67.7%
Draw
12.9%
Plymouth Argyle
19.4%
62
Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 39
Norwich
2-1
Plymouth
Sargent (67'), Phillips (74' og.)
Whittaker (10')
Randell (18'), Foster (19'), Sorinola (30'), Miller (35'), Houghton (70'), Devine (70'), Forshaw (80'), Pleguezuelo (82')
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Plymouth
6-2
Norwich
Whittaker (15', 45+3', 59'), Scarr (35'), Azaz (45+5'), Cundle (90+7')
Scarr (68')
Idah (72', 78')
Mar 14, 2009 3pm
Norwich
1-0
Plymouth
Mooney (53')
Doherty (42'), Mooney (54'), Russell (65')
Russell (90')

Seip (7')
Sep 13, 2008 3pm
Plymouth
1-2
Norwich
Gallagher (90')
Timar (20'), Walton (55')
Timar (34')
Sibierski (59'), Lupoli (15')
Omozusi (22'), Lupoli (43')
Dec 4, 2007 3pm
Norwich
2-1
Plymouth
Huckerby (87' pen.), Evans (2')
Russell (57')
Timar (89')
Hayles (38'), Nalis (45'), Connolly (86'), Ebanks-Blake (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
9.30pm
Chargers
@
Texans
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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